Economy of Chernavskii

Scherbakov A.V.
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The present article sets out the scientific approach of Dmitry Sergeevich Chernavskii to the modelling of economic processes. It recounts the history of works of Dmitry Sergeyevich on the economic front, its milestones and achievements. One of the most important advances in the economic analysis was the prediction by a team of scientists headed by D. S. Chernavskii, the major crises that have occurred in our country over the last 20 years, namely, the default of 1998, the crisis of industrial production in the second half of the 2000s, the 2008 crisis and the ensuing recession. As an example, the dynamic analysis of the global macroeconomic processes shows the model of functioning of the dollar as the world currency. On this particular example shows the possibility of seigniorage due to the issue of the dollar and the calculated “window of opportunity” that allows you to issue dollars as the global currency, without prejudice to its own economy.

A model for the development of a closed society (without external economic relations) in the one-product approach is considered as an example of dynamic analysis of the economy of a separate state. The model is based on the principles of market economy, i.e. the dynamics of prices is determined by the balance of supply and demand. It is shown that in the general case, the state of market equilibrium is not unique. Several steady states with different levels of production and consumption are possible. Effect of addressed emission of money in underproductive state is considered. It is shown that, depending on its size it can lead to the transition to a highly productive condition, and just cause inflation without transition. The relationship of these results with the “Keynesian” and “monetarist” approaches is discussed.

Keywords: the economy, crises, dynamic analysis, dollar, seigniorage, mathematical model, emission, inflation, the digital economy
Citation in English: Scherbakov A.V. Economy of Chernavskii // Computer Research and Modeling, 2017, vol. 9, no. 3, pp. 397-417
Citation in English: Scherbakov A.V. Economy of Chernavskii // Computer Research and Modeling, 2017, vol. 9, no. 3, pp. 397-417
DOI: 10.20537/2076-7633-2017-9-3-397-417
URL: http://crm-en.ics.org.ru/journal/article/2583/
Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported License.
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