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Mathematical and computational problems associated with the formation of structures in complex systems
Computer Research and Modeling, 2022, v. 14, no. 4, pp. 805-815In this paper, the system of equations of magnetic hydrodynamics (MHD) is considered. The exact solutions found describe fluid flows in a porous medium and are related to the development of a core simulator and are aimed at creating a domestic technology «digital deposit» and the tasks of controlling the parameters of incompressible fluid. The central problem associated with the use of computer technology is large-dimensional grid approximations and high-performance supercomputers with a large number of parallel microprocessors. Kinetic methods for solving differential equations and methods for «gluing» exact solutions on coarse grids are being developed as possible alternatives to large-dimensional grid approximations. A comparative analysis of the efficiency of computing systems allows us to conclude that it is necessary to develop the organization of calculations based on integer arithmetic in combination with universal approximate methods. A class of exact solutions of the Navier – Stokes system is proposed, describing three-dimensional flows for an incompressible fluid, as well as exact solutions of nonstationary three-dimensional magnetic hydrodynamics. These solutions are important for practical problems of controlled dynamics of mineralized fluids, as well as for creating test libraries for verification of approximate methods. A number of phenomena associated with the formation of macroscopic structures due to the high intensity of interaction of elements of spatially homogeneous systems, as well as their occurrence due to linear spatial transfer in spatially inhomogeneous systems, are highlighted. It is fundamental that the emergence of structures is a consequence of the discontinuity of operators in the norms of conservation laws. The most developed and universal is the theory of computational methods for linear problems. Therefore, from this point of view, the procedures of «immersion» of nonlinear problems into general linear classes by changing the initial dimension of the description and expanding the functional spaces are important. Identification of functional solutions with functions makes it possible to calculate integral averages of an unknown, but at the same time its nonlinear superpositions, generally speaking, are not weak limits of nonlinear superpositions of approximations of the method, i.e. there are functional solutions that are not generalized in the sense of S. L. Sobolev.
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Monitoring the spread of Sosnowskyi’s hogweed using a random forest machine learning algorithm in Google Earth Engine
Computer Research and Modeling, 2022, v. 14, no. 6, pp. 1357-1370Examining the spectral response of plants from data collected using remote sensing has a lot of potential for solving real-world problems in different fields of research. In this study, we have used the spectral property to identify the invasive plant Heracleum sosnowskyi Manden from satellite imagery. H. sosnowskyi is an invasive plant that causes many harms to humans, animals and the ecosystem at large. We have used data collected from the years 2018 to 2020 containing sample geolocation data from the Moscow Region where this plant exists and we have used Sentinel-2 imagery for the spectral analysis towards the aim of detecting it from the satellite imagery. We deployed a Random Forest (RF) machine learning model within the framework of Google Earth Engine (GEE). The algorithm learns from the collected data, which is made up of 12 bands of Sentinel-2, and also includes the digital elevation together with some spectral indices, which are used as features in the algorithm. The approach used is to learn the biophysical parameters of H. sosnowskyi from its reflectances by fitting the RF model directly from the data. Our results demonstrate how the combination of remote sensing and machine learning can assist in locating H. sosnowskyi, which aids in controlling its invasive expansion. Our approach provides a high detection accuracy of the plant, which is 96.93%.
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Approach to Estimating the Dynamics of the Industry Consolidation Level
Computer Research and Modeling, 2023, v. 15, no. 1, pp. 129-140In this article we propose a new approach to the analysis of econometric industry parameters for the industry consolidation level. The research is based on the simple industry automatic control model. The state of the industry is measured by quarterly obtained econometric parameters from each industry’s company provided by the tax control regulator. An approach to analysis of the industry, which does not provide for tracking the economy of each company, but explores the parameters of the set of all companies as a whole, is proposed. Quarterly obtained econometric parameters from each industry’s company are Income, Quantity of employers, Taxes, and Income from Software Licenses. The ABC analysis method was modified by ABCD analysis (D — companies with zero-level impact to industry metrics) and used to make the results obtained for different indicators comparable. Pareto charts were formed for the set of econometric indicators.
To estimate the industry monopolization, the Herfindahl – Hirschman index was calculated for the most sensitive companies metrics. Using the HHI approach, it was proved that COVID-19 does not lead to changes in the monopolization of the Russian IT industry.
As the most visually obvious approach to the industry visualization, scattering diagrams in combination with the Pareto graph colors were proposed. The affect of the accreditation procedure is clearly observed by scattering diagram in combination with red/black dots for accredited and nonaccredited companies respectively.
The last reported result is the proposal to use the Licenses End-to-End Product Identification as the market structure control instrument. It is the basis to avoid the multiple accounting of the licenses reselling within the chain of software distribution.
The results of research could be the basis for future IT industry analysis and simulation on the agent based approach.
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Sensitivity analysis and semi-analytical solution for analyzing the dynamics of coffee berry disease
Computer Research and Modeling, 2024, v. 16, no. 3, pp. 731-753Coffee berry disease (CBD), resulting from the Colletotrichum kahawae fungal pathogen, poses a severe risk to coffee crops worldwide. Focused on coffee berries, it triggers substantial economic losses in regions relying heavily on coffee cultivation. The devastating impact extends beyond agricultural losses, affecting livelihoods and trade economies. Experimental insights into coffee berry disease provide crucial information on its pathogenesis, progression, and potential mitigation strategies for control, offering valuable knowledge to safeguard the global coffee industry. In this paper, we investigated the mathematical model of coffee berry disease, with a focus on the dynamics of the coffee plant and Colletotrichum kahawae pathogen populations, categorized as susceptible, exposed, infected, pathogenic, and recovered (SEIPR) individuals. To address the system of nonlinear differential equations and obtain semi-analytical solution for the coffee berry disease model, a novel analytical approach combining the Shehu transformation, Akbari – Ganji, and Pade approximation method (SAGPM) was utilized. A comparison of analytical results with numerical simulations demonstrates that the novel SAGPM is excellent efficiency and accuracy. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis of the coffee berry disease model examines the effects of all parameters on the basic reproduction number $R_0$. Moreover, in order to examine the behavior of the model individuals, we varied some parameters in CBD. Through this analysis, we obtained valuable insights into the responses of the coffee berry disease model under various conditions and scenarios. This research offers valuable insights into the utilization of SAGPM and sensitivity analysis for analyzing epidemiological models, providing significant utility for researchers in the field.
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Modeling some scenarios in the “power – society” system concerning migration and changing the number of regions
Computer Research and Modeling, 2024, v. 16, no. 6, pp. 1499-1512The paper considers an earlier proposed by the author discrete modification of the A. P. Mikhailov “power – society” model. The modification is based on a stochastic cellular automaton, it’s microdynamics being completely different from the c continuous model based on differential equations. However, the macrodynamics of the discrete modification is shown in previous works to be equivalent to one of the continuous model. This is important, but at the same time raises the question why use the discrete model. The answer lies in its flexibility, which allows adding a variety of factors, the consideration of which in a continuous model either leads to a significant increase in computational complexity or is simply impossible.
This paper considers several examples of such applicability expansion of the model, with the help of which a number of applied problems are solved.
One of the modifications of the model takes into account economic ties between regions and municipalities, which could not be studied in the basic model. Computational experiments confirmed the improvement of the socio-economic indicators of the system under the influence of the ties.
The second modification allows internal migration in the system. Using it we studied the socio-economic development of a more prosperous region that attracts migrants.
Next we studied the dynamics of the system while the number of regions and municipalities changes. The negative impact of this process on the socio-economic indicators of the system was shown and possible control was found to overcome this negative impact.
The results of this study, therefore, include both the solution of some applied problems and the demonstration of the broader applicability of the discrete model compared with the continuous one.
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Modification of the electrodynamic method for spacecraft attitude stabilization at circumpolar orbits
Computer Research and Modeling, 2026, v. 18, no. 1, pp. 149-168For the three-axis stabilization of the spacecraft in the orbital coordinate system, including in the indirect equilibrium position, an electrodynamic control method is used based on the simultaneous use of two control torques that affect the dynamics of the spacecraft’s rotational motion in the Earth’s magnetic field (EMF), namely, the Lorentz torque and the torque of magnetic interaction. It is assumed that the spacecraft, equipped with an electric charge with a controlled vector of static moment of charge of the first order and a controlled intrinsic magnetic moment, moves in a Keplerian circular Earth orbit of arbitrary inclination. It was previously shown that combining two control systems, magnetic and Lorentz control, into a single electrodynamic control system (EDCS) makes it possible to successfully solve various problems of controlling the angular motion of spacecraft. Unlike many well-known studies performed for one or another approximate EMF model, this work does not impose restrictions on the accuracy of the EMF approximation. Previous studies have shown the limited capabilities of the EDCS for spacecraft moving in orbits close to the polar ones, due to the presence in this case of such points on the spacecraft trajectory in which it is possible for the lines of action of the geomagnetic induction vector and the spacecraft velocity vector relative to the EMF. Therefore, in this paper, the problem of overcoming these difficulties is posed and solved. A modification of the EDCS is proposed, based, firstly, on optimizing the control of the angular motion of the spacecraft and, secondly, on limiting the maximum value of the modulus of the vector of the center of charge relative to the center of mass of the spacecraft, which must be created during control. A method for selecting parameters for a modified EMF is recommended. The presented results of numerical experiments for spacecraft located in polar and circumpolar orbits not only demonstrate the operability of the proposed modification of the EDCS, but also indicate the possibility of technical implementation of the modified electrodynamic method of three-axis spacecraft stabilization.
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Modeling system of extrusion and forming polymeric materials for blown film quality control
Computer Research and Modeling, 2014, v. 6, no. 1, pp. 137-158Views (last year): 7. Citations: 3 (RSCI).Flexible software for modeling polymeric film production by use of blown extrusion has been developed. It consists of library of mathematical models for extrusion and forming blown film, sub-system for changeover to new type of film and sub-system for investigation of extrusion and forming for film quality control under film production. The sub-system for changeover allows to choose the equipment of extrusion line on technical and economic indices, to synthesize 3D model of the line and to generate regulation ranges of regime parameters for given type of film. The sub-system for investigation allows to calculate temperature profiles of heating and cooling material, geometrical and optical characteristics of film depending on regime parameters for stages of extrusion and forming and to evaluate regime parameters ensuring given quality of polymeric film.
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Optimal control of the commercial bank investment including the reinvestment processes
Computer Research and Modeling, 2014, v. 6, no. 2, pp. 309-319Views (last year): 6. Citations: 1 (RSCI).Article is devoted to the creation of a mathematical control of the bank investment process. The whole process of building optimal control may be divided into two components: in the first place, there is the identification of the functions describing the liquid capital movement in the bank and, in the second place, the use of these functions in the scheme of dynamic programming. Before this problem was discussed in the article "Optimal control of the bank investment as a factor of economic stability" in the 4th issue for 2012. In the present article considers this modification of the solution, in particular, we use ℜ(φ) as a function of reinvestment, where φ is inflow of liquid capital realized at the previous step of control.
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Simulation of microstructure evolutions of VT6 alloy during isothermal forging using Deform software
Computer Research and Modeling, 2014, v. 6, no. 6, pp. 975-982Views (last year): 7. Citations: 3 (RSCI).The article contains results of modeling of bi-modal microstructure evolution of VT6 alloy during isothermal forging. The model of recrystallization based on dislocation approach to nucleation and growth of nuclear was made to calculate recrystallization processes of the secondary alpha phase. The globularization process of lamellar alpha phase was calculated with assumption of diffusion-control migration of beta-phase boundary due to grain boundary diffusion of vanadium atom. The theoretical results were compared with experimental one.
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Pareto optimal analysis of global warming prevention by geoengineering methods
Computer Research and Modeling, 2015, v. 7, no. 5, pp. 1097-1108Views (last year): 1. Citations: 3 (RSCI).The study is based on a three-dimensional hydrodynamic global climate coupled model, including ocean model with real depths and continents configuration, sea ice evolution model and energy and moisture balance atmosphere model. Aerosol concentration from the year 2010 to 2100 is calculated as a controlling parameter to stabilize mean year surface air temperature. It is shown that by this way it is impossible to achieve the space and seasonal uniform approximation to the existing climate, although it is possible significantly reduce the greenhouse warming effect. Climate will be colder at 0.1–0.2 degrees in the low and mid-latitudes and at high latitudes it will be warmer at 0.2–1.2 degrees. The Pareto frontier is investigated and visualized for two parameters — atmospheric temperature mean square deviation for the winter and summer seasons. The Pareto optimal amount of sulfur emissions would be between 23.5 and 26.5 TgS/year.
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