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An important role in the construction of mathematical models of dynamic systems is played by inverse problems, which in particular include the problem of parametric identification. Unlike classical models that operate with point values, interval models give upper and lower boundaries on the quantities under study. The paper considers an interpolation approach to solving interval problems of parametric identification of dynamic systems for the case when experimental data are represented by external interval estimates. The purpose of the proposed approach is to find such an interval estimate of the model parameters, in which the external interval estimate of the solution of the direct modeling problem would contain experimental data or minimize the deviation from them. The approach is based on the adaptive interpolation algorithm for modeling dynamic systems with interval uncertainties, which makes it possible to explicitly obtain the dependence of phase variables on system parameters. The task of minimizing the distance between the experimental data and the model solution in the space of interval boundaries of the model parameters is formulated. An expression for the gradient of the objectivet function is obtained. On a representative set of tasks, the effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated.

The influence of solar activity on various processes on Earth has long been the subject of close study, which resulted in the appearance of the term “space weather”. The most striking manifestation of solar activity are the so-called “solar flares”, which are explosive releases of energy in the solar atmosphere, resulting in a flow of photons and charged particles reaching the Earth with a slight delay. After two or three days, a plasma flow reaches the Earth. Thus, a solar flare is an event stretched out in time for several days. The impact of solar flares on human health and the technosphere is a popular subject for discussion and scientific research. This article provides a quantitative assessment of the trigger effect of solar flares on the release of energy as a result of seismic events. The article provides an estimate in the form of a “percentage” of the released seismic energy of the trigger effect of solar flares on the release of seismic energy worldwide and in 8 areas of the Pacific Fire Ring. The initial data are a time series of solar flares from July 31, 1996 to the end of 2024. The time points of the greatest local extremes of solar flare intensity and released seismic energy were studied in successive time intervals of 1 day. For each pair of time sequences in sliding time windows, the “lead measures” of each time sequence relative to the other were estimated using a parametric model of the intensity of interacting point processes. The difference between the “direct” lead measure of the time points of local extremes of solar flare intensity relative to the moments of maximum released seismic energy and the “reverse” lead measure was calculated. The average value of the difference in lead measures provides an estimate of the share of the intensity of seismic events for which solar flares are a trigger.

The Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) networks plays a significant role in enhancing industrial automation systems by connecting industrial devices for real time data monitoring and predictive maintenance. However, this connectivity introduces new vulnerabilities which demand the development of advanced intrusion detection systems. The nuclear facilities are considered one of the closest examples of critical infrastructures that suffer from high vulnerability through the connectivity of IIoT networks. This paper develops a robust intrusion detection approach using machine and ensemble learning algorithms specifically determined for IIoT networks. This approach can achieve optimal performance with low time complexity suitable for real-time IIoT networks. For each algorithm, Grid Search is determined to fine-tune the hyperparameters for optimizing the performance while ensuring time computational efficiency. The proposed approach is investigated on recent IIoT intrusion detection datasets, WUSTL-IIOT-2021 and Edge-IIoT-2022 to cover a wider range of attacks with high precision and minimum false alarms. The study provides the effectiveness of ten machine and ensemble learning models on selected features of the datasets. Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE)-based multi-class balancing is used to manipulate dataset imbalances. The ensemble voting classifier is used to combine the best models with the best hyperparameters for raising their advantages to improve the performance with the least time complexity. The machine and ensemble learning algorithms are evaluated based on accuracy, precision, recall, F1 Score, and time complexity. This evaluation can discriminate the most suitable candidates for further optimization. The proposed approach is called the XCL approach that is based on Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), CatBoost (Categorical Boosting), and Light Gradient- Boosting Machine (LightGBM). It achieves high accuracy, lower false positive rate, and efficient time complexity. The results refer to the importance of ensemble strategies, algorithm selection, and hyperparameter optimization in enhancing the performance to detect the different intrusions across the IIoT datasets over the other models. The developed approach produced a higher accuracy of 99.99% on the WUSTL-IIOT-2021 dataset and 100% on the Edge-IIoTset dataset. Our experimental evaluations have been extended to the CIC-IDS-2017 dataset. These additional evaluations not only highlight the applicability of the XCL approach on a wide spectrum of intrusion detection scenarios but also confirm its scalability and effectiveness in real-world complex network environments.

This paper presents an experimental study of the application of automatic annotation of text data in the question – answer format (QA pairs) under conditions of limited computing resources and data protection requirements. Unlike traditional approaches based on rigid rules or the use of external APIs, we propose using small language models with a small number of parameters that can function locally without a GPU on standard CPU systems. Two models were selected for testing — Gemma-3-4b and Qwen-2.5-3b (quantized 4-bit versions) — and a corpus of documents with a clear structure and a formally rigorous style of presentation was used as source material. An automatic annotation system was developed that implements the full cycle of QA dataset generation: automatic division of the source document into logically connected fragments, formation of “question – answer” pairs using the Gemma-3-4b model, preliminary verification of their correctness using Qwen-2.5-3b based on evidence span from the context and expert quality assessment. The results are exported in JSONL format. Performance evaluation covers the entire QA pair generation system, including fragment processing by the local language model, text preprocessing and postprocessing modules. Performance is measured by the time it takes to generate a single QA pair, the total throughput of the system, RAM usage, and CPU load, which allows for an objective assessment of the computational efficiency of the proposed approach when running on a CPU. An experiment on an extended sample of 12 documents showed that automatic annotation demonstrates stable performance when processing different types of documents, while manual annotation is characterized by significantly higher time costs and high variability. Depending on the type of document, the acceleration of annotation compared to the manual process ranges from 8 to 14 times. Quality analysis showed that most of the generated QA pairs have high semantic consistency with the original context, with only a limited proportion of data requiring expert correction or exception. Although full manual validation of the corpus (the “gold standard”) was not performed as part of this work, the combination of automatic evaluation and selective expert review allows us to consider the resulting quality level acceptable for preliminary automated annotation tasks. Overall, the results confirm the practical applicability of small language models for building autonomous and reproducible automatic text annotation systems under limited computational resources and provide a basis for further research in the field of effective training corpus preparation for natural language processing tasks.

For modeling and statistical analysis of data characterized by cyclicity (periodicity) in various areas of science are used circular or wrapped distribution models. The phase distribution function of a harmonic and phase-shift-keying signal in case additive white Gaussian noise is considered. Algorithms for modeling random phases sample of harmonic and modulated signals with specified parameters and correlation function are presented. Expressions for the phase distribution density of the phase-shift-keying signal are given. It is shown that the phase probability density function of the phase-shift-keying signal becomes multimodal. In addition, the probability density function under consideration is a periodic function, which means that the trigonometric Fourier basis can be used to decompose it into a series. In paper for the first time, analytical expressions for the coefficients of the Fourier series when decomposing the density under consideration into a harmonic basis are obtained, and the derivation of the corresponding expressions are presented. Examples of computer modeling and corresponding graphical materials of calculating Fourier coefficients of the phase probability density function for harmonic and phase-shift-keying signals are presented. A formula for the cumulative distribution function and its decomposition into a Fourier series are also obtained. Based on the representation of the phase probability density function in the form of a Fourier series, a comparison is made with other circular distributions often used in practical problems, the Mises distribution and the wrapped normal distribution. The results obtained in this work are of theoretical and practical interest for modeling and statistical analysis of signal phases in various applied problems in area radio engineering, digital communication, radar, etc. In particular, in the problems of estimating the signal-to-noise ratio, the bit error rate, as well as the reliability of demodulator solutions, i. e. soft demodulation of phase-shift-keying signals. Analytical expressions for the Fourier series coefficients can be used to estimate the empirical probability density function.

A new method is described for finding parameters of univariate regression model: the greatest cosine method. Implementation of the method involves division of regression model parameters into two groups. The first group of parameters responsible for the angle between the experimental data vector and the regression model vector are defined by the maximum of the cosine of the angle between these vectors. The second group includes the scale factor. It is determined by means of “straightening” the relationship between the experimental data vector and the regression model vector. The interrelation of the greatest cosine method with the method of least squares is examined. Efficiency of the method is illustrated by examples.

А discrete element model is applied to the problem of a spherical projectile penetration into a massive obstacle. According to the model both indenter and obstacle are described by a set of densely packed particles. To model the interaction between the particles the two-parameter Lennard–Jones potential is used. Computer implementation of the model has been carried out using parallelism on GPUs, which resulted in high spatial — temporal resolution. Based on the comparison of the results of numerical simulation with experimental data the binding energy has been identified as a function of the dynamic hardness of materials. It is shown that the use of this approach allows to accurately describe the penetration process in the range of projectile velocities 500–2500 m/c.

Use of algorithms based on neural networks can be inefficient for small amounts of experimental data. Authors consider a solution of this problem in the context of modelling of properties of ceramic composite materials reinforced with carbon nanotubes using perceptron complex. This approach allowed us to obtain a mathematical description of the object of study with a minimal amount of input data (the amount of necessary experimental samples decreased 2–3.3 times). Authors considered different versions of perceptron complex structures. They found that the most appropriate structure has perceptron complex with breakthrough of two input variables. The relative error was only 6%. The selected perceptron complex was shown to be effective for predicting the properties of ceramic composites. The relative errors for output components were 0.3%, 4.2%, 0.4%, 2.9%, and 11.8%.

The question on improvement of quality of images obtained in a tomography problem is considered. The problem consists in finding of boundaries of inhomogeneities (inclusions) in a continuous medium by results of X-ray radiography of this medium. A nonlinear integral transformation of a special kind is proposed which allows to improve quality of images obtained earlier at a set of papers. The method is realized numerically by the use of computer modelling. Some calculations are carried out with use of data for concrete materials. The results obtained are presented by drawings and graphic images.

The goal of this work is to generalize second order mathematical models for automotive flow using algorithm for building state equation — the dependency of pressure on traffic density — which is adequate with regard to real world data. The form of state equation, which closes the system of model equations, is obtained from experimental form of fundamental diagram — the dependency of traffic flow intensity on its density, and completely defines all properties of any phenomenological model. The proposed approach was verified using numerical experiments on typical traffic data, obtained from PeMS system (http://pems.dot.ca.gov/), using segment of I-507 highway in California, USA as model system.