Результаты поиска по 'dependability':
Найдено статей: 326
  1. Timiryanova V.M., Lakman I.A., Larkin M.M.
    Retail forecasting on high-frequency depersonalized data
    Computer Research and Modeling, 2023, v. 15, no. 6, pp. 1713-1734

    Technological development determines the emergence of highly detailed data in time and space, which expands the possibilities of analysis, allowing us to consider consumer decisions and the competitive behavior of enterprises in all their diversity, taking into account the context of the territory and the characteristics of time periods. Despite the promise of such studies, they are currently limited in the scientific literature. This is due to the range of problems, the solution of which is considered in this paper. The article draws attention to the complexity of the analysis of depersonalized high-frequency data and the possibility of modeling consumption changes in time and space based on them. The features of the new type of data are considered on the example of real depersonalized data received from the fiscal data operator “First OFD” (JSC “Energy Systems and Communications”). It is shown that along with the spectrum of problems inherent in high-frequency data, there are disadvantages associated with the process of generating data on the side of the sellers, which requires a wider use of data mining tools. A series of statistical tests were carried out on the data under consideration, including a Unit-Root Test, test for unobserved individual effects, test for serial correlation and for cross-sectional dependence in panels, etc. The presence of spatial autocorrelation of the data was tested using modified tests of Lagrange multipliers. The tests carried out showed the presence of a consistent correlation and spatial dependence of the data, which determine the expediency of applying the methods of panel and spatial analysis in relation to high-frequency data accumulated by fiscal operators. The constructed models made it possible to substantiate the spatial relationship of sales growth and its dependence on the day of the week. The limitation for increasing the predictive ability of the constructed models and their subsequent complication, due to the inclusion of explanatory factors, was the lack of open access statistics grouped in the required detail in time and space, which determines the relevance of the formation of high-frequency geographically structured data bases.

  2. Vetrin R.L., Koberg K.
    Reinforcement learning in optimisation of financial market trading strategy parameters
    Computer Research and Modeling, 2024, v. 16, no. 7, pp. 1793-1812

    High frequency algorithmic trading became is a subclass of trading which is focused on gaining basis-point like profitability on sub-second time frames. Such trading strategies do not depend on most of the factors eligible for the longer-term trading and require specific approach. There were many attempts to utilize machine learning techniques to both high and low frequency trading. However, it is still having limited application in the real world trading due to high exposure to overfitting, requirements for rapid adaptation to new market regimes and overall instability of the results. We conducted a comprehensive research on combination of known quantitative theory and reinforcement learning methods in order derive more effective and robust approach at construction of automated trading system in an attempt to create a support for a known algorithmic trading techniques. Using classical price behavior theories as well as modern application cases in sub-millisecond trading, we utilized the Reinforcement Learning models in order to improve quality of the algorithms. As a result, we derived a robust model which utilize Deep Reinforcement learning in order to optimise static market making trading algorithms’ parameters capable of online learning on live data. More specifically, we explored the system in the derivatives cryptocurrency market which mostly not dependent on external factors in short terms. Our research was implemented in high-frequency environment and the final models showed capability to operate within accepted high-frequency trading time-frames. We compared various combinations of Deep Reinforcement Learning approaches and the classic algorithms and evaluated robustness and effectiveness of improvements for each combination.

  3. Aronov I.Z., Maksimova O.V.
    Theoretical modeling consensus building in the work of standardization technical committees in coalitions based on regular Markov chains
    Computer Research and Modeling, 2020, v. 12, no. 5, pp. 1247-1256

    Often decisions in social groups are made by consensus. This applies, for example, to the examination in the technical committee for standardization (TC) before the approval of the national standard by Rosstandart. The standard is approved if and only if the secured consensus in the TC. The same approach to standards development was adopted in almost all countries and at the regional and international level. Previously published works of authors dedicated to the construction of a mathematical model of time to reach consensus in technical committees for standardization in terms of variation in the number of TC members and their level of authoritarianism. The present study is a continuation of these works for the case of the formation of coalitions that are often formed during the consideration of the draft standard to the TC. In the article the mathematical model is constructed to ensure consensus on the work of technical standardization committees in terms of coalitions. In the framework of the model it is shown that in the presence of coalitions consensus is not achievable. However, the coalition, as a rule, are overcome during the negotiation process, otherwise the number of the adopted standards would be extremely small. This paper analyzes the factors that influence the bridging coalitions: the value of the assignment and an index of the effect of the coalition. On the basis of statistical modelling of regular Markov chains is investigated their effects on the time to ensure consensus in the technical Committee. It is proved that the time to reach consensus significantly depends on the value of unilateral concessions coalition and weakly depends on the size of coalitions. Built regression model of dependence of the average number of approvals from the value of the assignment. It was revealed that even a small concession leads to the onset of consensus, increasing the size of the assignment results (with other factors being equal) to a sharp decline in time before the consensus. It is shown that the assignment of a larger coalition against small coalitions takes on average more time before consensus. The result has practical value for all organizational structures, where the emergence of coalitions entails the inability of decision-making in the framework of consensus and requires the consideration of various methods for reaching a consensus decision.

  4. Lemtyuzhnikova D.V.
    Parallel representation of local elimination algorithm for accelerating the solving sparse discrete optimization problems
    Computer Research and Modeling, 2015, v. 7, no. 3, pp. 699-705

    The decomposition algorithms provide approaches to deal with NP-hardness in solving discrete optimization problems (DOPs). In this article one of the promising ways to exploit sparse matrices — local elimination algorithm in parallel interpretation (LEAP) are demonstrated. That is a graph-based structural decomposition algorithm, which allows to compute a solution in stages such that each of them uses results from previous stages. At the same time LEAP heavily depends on elimination ordering which actually provides solving stages. Also paper considers tree- and block-parallel for LEAP and required realization process of it comparison of a several heuristics for obtaining a better elimination order and shows how is related graph structure, elimination ordering and solving time.

    Views (last year): 1.
  5. Bogdanov A.V., Mareev V.V., Stepanov E.A., Panchenko M.V.
    Modeling of behavior of the option. The formulation of the problem
    Computer Research and Modeling, 2015, v. 7, no. 3, pp. 759-766

    Object of research: The creation of algorithm for mass computations of options‘ price for formation of a riskless portfolio. The method is based on the generalization of the Black–Scholes method. The task is the modeling of behavior of all options and tools for their insurance. This task is characterized by large volume of realtime complex computations that should be executed concurrently The problem of the research: depending on conditions approaches to the solution should be various. There are three methods which can be used with different conditions: the finite difference method, the path-integral approach and methods which work in conditions of trade stop. Distributed computating in these three cases is organized differently and it is necessary to involve various approaches. In addition to complexity the mathematical formulation of the problem in literature is not quite correct. There is no complete description of boundary and initial conditions and also several hypotheses of the model do not correspond to real market. It is necessary to give mathematically correct formulation of the task, and to neutralize a difference between hypotheses of the model and their prototypes in the market. For this purpose it is necessary to expand standard formulation by additional methods and develop methods of realization for each of solution branches.

    Views (last year): 2. Citations: 1 (RSCI).
  6. Ershov N.M.
    Non-uniform cellular genetic algorithms
    Computer Research and Modeling, 2015, v. 7, no. 3, pp. 775-780

    In this paper, we introduce the concept of non-uniform cellular genetic algorithm, in which a number of parameters that affect the operation of genetic operators is dependent on the location of the cells of a given cellular space. The results of numerical comparison of non-uniform cellular genetic algorithms with the standard genetic algorithms, showing the advantages of the proposed approach while minimizing multimodal functions with a large number of local extrema, are presented. The coarse-grained parallel implementation of the non-uniform algorithms using the technology of MPI is considered.

    Views (last year): 9. Citations: 3 (RSCI).
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