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Computer model of a perfect-mixing extraction reactor in the format of the component circuits method with non-uniform vector connections
Computer Research and Modeling, 2024, v. 16, no. 3, pp. 599-614The features of the component circuits method (MCC) in modeling chemical-technological systems (CTS) are considered, taking into account its practical significance. The software and algorithmic implementation of which is currently a set of computer modeling programs MARS (Modeling and Automatic Research of Systems). MARS allows the development and analysis of mathematical models with specified experimental parameters. Research and calculations were carried out using a specialized software and hardware complex MARS, which allows the development of mathematical models with specified experimental parameters. In the course of this work, the model of a perfect-mixing reactor was developed in the MARS modeling environment taking into account the physicochemical features of the uranium extraction process in the presence of nitric acid and tributyl phosphate. As results, the curves of changes of the concentration of uranium extracted into the organic phase are presented. The possibility of using MCC for the description and analysis of CTS, including extraction processes, has been confirmed. The use of the obtained results is planned to be used in the development of a virtual laboratory, which will include the main apparatus of the chemical industry, as well as complex technical controlled systems (CTСS) based on them and will allow one to acquire a wide range of professional competencies in working with “digital twins” of real control objects, including gaining initial experience working with the main equipment of the nuclear industry. In addition to the direct applied benefits, it is also assumed that the successful implementation of the domestic complex of computer modeling programs and technologies based on the obtained results will make it possible to find solutions to the problems of organizing national technological sovereignty and import substitution.
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Modeling the impact of sanctions and import substitution on market performance
Computer Research and Modeling, 2025, v. 17, no. 2, pp. 365-380The article considers an approach to modeling the impact of sanctions and import substitution on the performance of high-tech product markets based on the use of control theory methods (operational calculus, z-transform). The model under consideration assumes that an equipment manufacturer supplies unique high-tech equipment to a high-tech product (HP) manufacturer that dominates the equipment consumer market. The HP manufacturer, fearing disruption of equipment supplies due to the introduction of all kinds of restrictions and sanctions, invests in the development of import-substituting equipment production in a third company, which can also find application in the external market, at the expense of deductions from its profits. The influence of the following factors and actions on the performance of the conditional market is analyzed: 1) the degree of inertia of the development and production development processes in the company; 2) the share of equipment of the import-substituting company supplied to the HP manufacturer; 3) sanctions (general and selective) on the supply of equipment to the company-manufacturer of the import substitution, as well as blocking the import substitution process in the third company by the first company.
The calculations show that the acceleration of the equipment development and production processes leads to a faster decrease in the production volumes of the first company. At the same time, an increase in price is observed, which is associated with a change in the parameters of the inverse demand function.
An increase in the share of equipment of the import-substituting company consumed by the second company can lead to a sharp increase in production volumes in the second and third companies, stabilization of production volumes in the first company and an increase in price.
The introduction of sanctions leads to a decrease in the production volumes and income of all companies relative to the baseline version. A significant change in price also occurs. However, due to the inertia of the equipment production processes in the example under consideration, a significant change in production volumes in the aggregate of companies occurs with a significant lag. This is especially characteristic of the third company, in which a noticeable deviation from the baseline version begins after 20 years. The blocking by the first equipment manufacturing company of investments in the development of import substitution in the third company ensures a relatively small gain for the first company in production volumes and NPV although allows to raise her market share.
Keywords: high-tech products, operational calculation, sanctions, import substitution, dynamics, market. -
Connection between discrete financial models and continuous models with Wiener and Poisson processes
Computer Research and Modeling, 2023, v. 15, no. 3, pp. 781-795The paper is devoted to the study of relationships between discrete and continuous models financial processes and their probabilistic characteristics. First, a connection is established between the price processes of stocks, hedging portfolio and options in the models conditioned by binomial perturbations and their limit perturbations of the Brownian motion type. Secondly, analogues in the coefficients of stochastic equations with various random processes, continuous and jumpwise, and in the coefficients corresponding deterministic equations for their probabilistic characteristics. Statement of the results on the connections and finding analogies, obtained in this paper, led to the need for an adequate presentation of preliminary information and results from financial mathematics, as well as descriptions of related objects of stochastic analysis. In this paper, partially new and known results are presented in an accessible form for those who are not specialists in financial mathematics and stochastic analysis, and for whom these results are important from the point of view of applications. Specifically, the following sections are presented.
• In one- and n-period binomial models, it is proposed a unified approach to determining on the probability space a risk-neutral measure with which the discounted option price becomes a martingale. The resulting martingale formula for the option price is suitable for numerical simulation. In the following sections, the risk-neutral measures approach is applied to study financial processes in continuous-time models.
• In continuous time, models of the price of shares, hedging portfolios and options are considered in the form of stochastic equations with the Ito integral over Brownian motion and over a compensated Poisson process. The study of the properties of these processes in this section is based on one of the central objects of stochastic analysis — the Ito formula. Special attention is given to the methods of its application.
• The famous Black – Scholes formula is presented, which gives a solution to the partial differential equation for the function $v(t, x)$, which, when $x = S (t)$ is substituted, where $S(t)$ is the stock price at the moment time $t$, gives the price of the option in the model with continuous perturbation by Brownian motion.
• The analogue of the Black – Scholes formula for the case of the model with a jump-like perturbation by the Poisson process is suggested. The derivation of this formula is based on the technique of risk-neutral measures and the independence lemma.
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