Результаты поиска по 'quality indicators':
Найдено статей: 22
  1. Makhov S.A.
    Forecasting demographic and macroeconomic indicators in a distributed global model
    Computer Research and Modeling, 2023, v. 15, no. 3, pp. 757-779

    The paper present a dynamic macro model of world dynamics. The world is divided into 19 geographic regions in the model. The internal development of the regions is described by regression equations for demographic and economic indicators (Population, Gross Domestic Product, Gross Capital Formation). The bilateral trade flows from region to region describes interregional interactions and represented the trade submodel. Time, the gross product of the exporter and the gross product of the importer were used as regressors. Four types were considered: time pair regression — dependence of trade flow on time, export function — dependence of the share of trade flow in the gross product of the exporter on the gross product of the importer, import function — dependence of the share of trade flow in the gross product of the importer on the gross product of the exporter, multiple regression — dependence of trade flow on the gross products of the exporter and importer. Two types of functional dependence were used for each type: linear and log-linear, in total eight variants of the trading equation were studied. The quality of regression models is compared by the coefficient of determination. By calculations the model satisfactorily approximates the dynamics of monotonically changing indicators. The dynamics of non-monotonic trade flows is analyzed, three types of functional dependence on time are proposed for their approximation. It is shown that the number of foreign trade series can be approximated by the space of seven main components with a 10% error. The forecast of regional development and global dynamics up to 2040 is constructed.

    Keywords: world dynamics, mathematical modeling, macroeconomics, foreign trade, time series, regression analysis, forecast.
  2. Korenkov V.V., Nechaevskiy A.V., Ososkov G.A., Pryahina D.I., Trofimov V.V., Uzhinskiy A.V.
    Synthesis of the simulation and monitoring processes for the development of big data storage and processing facilities in physical experiments
    Computer Research and Modeling, 2015, v. 7, no. 3, pp. 691-698

    The paper presents a new grid and cloud services simulation system. This system is developed in LIT JINR, Dubna, and it is aimed at improving the efficiency of the grid-cloud systems development by using work quality indicators of some real system to design and predict its evolution. For these purpose, simulation program is combined with real monitoring system of the grid-cloud service through a special database. The paper provides an example of the program usage to simulate a sufficiently general cloud structure, which can be used for more common purposes.

    Keywords: grid computing, cloud computing, data storage, monitoring, optimization, simulation.
    Views (last year): 4. Citations: 6 (RSCI).
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