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The goal of this work is to generalize second order mathematical models for automotive flow using algorithm for building state equation — the dependency of pressure on traffic density — which is adequate with regard to real world data. The form of state equation, which closes the system of model equations, is obtained from experimental form of fundamental diagram — the dependency of traffic flow intensity on its density, and completely defines all properties of any phenomenological model. The proposed approach was verified using numerical experiments on typical traffic data, obtained from PeMS system (http://pems.dot.ca.gov/), using segment of I-507 highway in California, USA as model system.

We present a simulation methodology for the prediction of ЃgunexpectedЃh bottlenecks, i.e., the bottlenecks that occur suddenly and unexpectedly for drivers on a highway. Such unexpected bottlenecks can be either a moving bottleneck (MB) caused by a slow moving vehicle or a motionless bottleneck caused by a stopped vehicle (SV). Based on simulations of a stochastic microscopic traffic flow model in the framework of KernerЃfs three-phase traffic theory, we show that through the use of a small share of probe vehicles (FCD) randomly distributed in traffic flow the reliable prediction of ЃgunexpectedЃh bottlenecks is possible. We have found that the time dependence of the probability of MB and SV prediction as well as the accuracy of the estimation of MB and SV location depend considerably on sequences of phase transitions from free flow (F) to synchronized flow (S) (F→S transition) and back from synchronized flow to free flow (S→F transition) as well as on speed oscillations in synchronized flow at the bottleneck. In the simulation approach, the identification of F→S and S→F transitions at an unexpected bottleneck has been made in accordance with Kerner's three-phase traffic theory. The presented simulation methodology allows us both the prediction of the unexpected bottleneck that suddenly occurs on a highway and the distinguishing of the origin of the unexpected bottleneck, i.e., whether the unexpected bottleneck has occurred due to a MB or a SV.

The objective of this article is to develop a model for a realistic description of a mixed flow of two types of vehicles (cars and trucks) on multi-lane highways, taking into account differences not only in the technical characteristics of vehicles (dimensions, maximum speed), but also differences in driving strategies. The article includes a literature review, including publications of recent years, confirming the relevance of modeling heterogeneous traffic flows.

The new model takes into account that trucks have a lower maximum speed compared to cars and are slower to start. They are less maneuverable, so it is more difficult for them to change lanes. In addition, the movement of trucks can be regulated by some restrictive rules, for example, a ban on driving in left lanes.

The model is based on the cellular automata theory, which allows for a comprehensive description of the features of individual flow components. At each time step, the state of the automaton cells is updated in two stages — changing lanes and moving forward. The algorithms of both substeps for cars and trucks differ. Each vehicle is assigned a number of parameters: vehicle type, length, maximum speed, lane change strategy, in-lane movement strategy.

The model is implemented as a software package that allows simulating traffic on various sections of the road network — intersections, sections with narrowing and widening of the road, entrances and exits from the highway. In this work, a road section with a varying number of lanes and a straight multi-lane section with a virtual detector were selected for testing the model. The results are presented in the form of local speed-density and flow-density diagrams, as well as spatiotemporal speed diagrams.

To test the model, a number of problems with different percentages of passenger cars and trucks are solved, which allows demonstrating a drop in the capacity of elements of the road network with an increase in the share of trucks in the flow. The cases of uniform distribution by lanes and the restriction to the right lane for trucks are simulated. The positive effect of introducing a ban on the movement of trucks in left lanes on a multi-lane highway is illustrated.

The short-term prediction of road traffic condition is one of the main tasks of transportation modelling. The main purpose of which are traffic control, reporting of accidents, avoiding traffic jams due to knowledge of traffic flow and subsequent transportation planning. A number of solutions exist — both model-driven and data driven had proven to be successful in capturing the dynamics of traffic flow. Nevertheless, most space-time models suffer from high mathematical complexity and low efficiency. Artificial Neural Networks, one of the prominent datadriven approaches, show promising performance in modelling the complexity of traffic flow. We present a neural network architecture for traffic flow prediction on a real-world road network graph. The model is based on the combination of a recurrent neural network and graph convolutional neural network. Where a recurrent neural network is used to model temporal dependencies, and a convolutional neural network is responsible for extracting spatial features from traffic. To make multiple few steps ahead predictions, the encoder-decoder architecture is used, which allows to reduce noise propagation due to inexact predictions. To model the complexity of traffic flow, we employ multilayered architecture. Deeper neural networks are more difficult to train. To speed up the training process, we use skip-connections between each layer, so that each layer teaches only the residual function with respect to the previous layer outputs. The resulting neural network was trained on raw data from traffic flow detectors from the US highway system with a resolution of 5 minutes. 3 metrics: mean absolute error, mean relative error, mean-square error were used to estimate the quality of the prediction. It was found that for all metrics the proposed model achieved lower prediction error than previously published models, such as Vector Auto Regression, LSTM and Graph Convolution GRU.

Original representation of statistical digital model of measurement of a macroroughness on a local site (to 15) consisting of determined (bias), correlated (standard periodic making and periodic deviations from flatness) and actually casual making (values of a macroroughness) Is offered.