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The work is devoted to the problem of creating a model with stationary parameters using historical data under conditions of unknown disturbances. The case is considered when a representative sample of object states can be formed using historical data accumulated only over a significant period of time. It is assumed that unknown disturbances can act in a wide frequency range and may have low-frequency and trend components. In such a situation, including data from different time periods in the sample can lead to inconsistencies and greatly reduce the accuracy of the model. The paper provides an overview of approaches and methods for data harmonization. In this case, the main attention is paid to data sampling. An assessment is made of the applicability of various data sampling options as a tool for reducing the level of uncertainty. We propose a method for identifying a self-leveling object model using data accumulated over a significant period of time under conditions of unknown disturbances with a wide frequency range. The method is focused on creating a model with stationary parameters that does not require periodic reconfiguration to new conditions. The method is based on the combined use of sampling and presentation of data from individual periods of time in the form of increments relative to the initial point in time for the period. This makes it possible to reduce the number of parameters that characterize unknown disturbances with a minimum of assumptions that limit the application of the method. As a result, the dimensionality of the search problem is reduced and the computational costs associated with setting up the model are minimized. It is possible to configure both linear and, in some cases, nonlinear models. The method was used to develop a model of closed cooling of steel on a unit for continuous hot-dip galvanizing of steel strip. The model can be used for predictive control of thermal processes and for selecting strip speed. It is shown that the method makes it possible to develop a model of thermal processes from a closed cooling section under conditions of unknown disturbances, including low-frequency components.

In this paper, the structure of a shock wave in a binary gas mixture is studied on the basis of direct solution of the Boltzmann kinetic equation. The conservative projection method is used to evaluate the collision integral in the kinetic equation. The applied evaluation formulas and numerical methods are described in detail. The model of hard spheres is used as an interaction potential of molecules. Numerical simulation is performed using the developed simulation environment software, which makes it possible to study both steady and non-steady flows of gas mixtures in various flow regimes and for an arbitrary geometry of the problem. Modeling is performed on a cluster architecture. Due to the use of code parallelization technologies, a significant acceleration of computations is achieved. With a fixed accuracy controlled by the simulation parameters, the distributions of macroscopic characteristics of the mixture components through the shock wave front were obtained. Computations were conducted for various ratios of molecular masses and Mach numbers. The total accuracy of at least 1% for the local values of molecular density and temperature and 3% for the shock front width was achieved. The obtained results were compared with existing computation data. The results presented in this paper are of theoretical significance, and can serve as a test computation, since they are obtained using the exact Boltzmann equation.

A review of the problems of preparing accurate geometric models of steel ropes based on mathematical models without significant simplifications, taking into account the intended purpose of the model, is carried out. Possible approaches to the generation of precise geometric models of steel ropes that have no fundamental limitations on their integration in computational domains and the subsequent construction of finite element models based on them are shown. A generalized parameterized geometric model of single and double twist ropes and its algorithmic implementation using the OpenCASCADE Core Technology geometric modeling kernel in the Gmsh environment (open source software) is considered. The problems of using generic tabular data from steel rope assortment standards as initial data for constructing geometric models are considered. Methods of preliminary verification of collisions of a geometric model based on the initial data of a geometric model are given. Post-verification methods based on Boolean operations over rope wire bodies are given to identify incorrect results of generating models of wire bodies with curvilinear side surfaces based on the algorithm of sequential hierarchical construction of individual wires of single strand and sequential copying of it. Various methods of the process of constructing geometric models of rope wires by extrusion are shown: through a sequence of generatrix with the formation of a body limited by curvilinear surfaces, through a sequence of generatrix with the formation of a body limited by linearly approximated surfaces, and extrusion of one generatrix along a single guideline. The computational complexity of the geometric model generation and the required volume of RAM for the two most universal methods of creating a body of wire are investigated. A method for estimating the value of the step of the arrangement of the generatrix of a single wire is shown, and the influence of its value on the computational complexity of the procedure of wire construction is investigated. Recommendations are given for choosing the value of the radial gap between the layers of wires. An algorithmic implementation of the method for searching for collisions of a geometric model of a steel rope in a non-interactive mode is shown. Approaches to the formation of procedures for processing collisions are proposed. Approaches presented in the article can be implemented in the form of software modules for execution in the Gmsh environment, as well as for another environment using the OpenCascade Core Technology geometric modeling kernel. Such modules allow automation of the construction of accurate geometric models of steel ropes in any configuration without fundamental restrictions on subsequent use, both stand-alone and in the form of objects (primitives) suitable for integration in a third-party model.

The study of the development of π-periodic perturbations of a converging spherical shock wave leading to cumulation limitation is performed. The study is based on 3D hydrodynamic calculations with the Carnahan – Starling equation of state for hard sphere fluid. The method of solving the Euler equations on moving (compressing) grids allows one to trace the evolution of the converging shock wave front with high accuracy in a wide range of its radius. The compression rate of the computational grid is adapted to the motion of the shock wave front, while the motion of the boundaries of the computational domain satisfy the condition of its supersonic velocity relative to the medium. This leads to the fact that the solution is determined only by the initial data at the grid compression stage. The second order TVD scheme is used to reconstruct the vector of conservative variables at the boundaries of the computational cells in combination with the Rusanov scheme for calculating the numerical vector of flows. The choice is due to a strong tendency for the manifestation of carbuncle-type numerical instability in the calculations, which is known for other classes of flows. In the three-dimensional case of the observed force, the carbuncle effect was obtained for the first time, which is explained by the specific nature of the flow: the concavity of the shock wave front in the direction of motion, the unlimited (in the symmetric case) growth of the Mach number, and the stationarity of the front on the computational grid. The applied numerical method made it possible to study the detailed flow pattern on the scale of cumulation termination, which is impossible within the framework of the Whitham method of geometric shock wave dynamics, which was previously used to calculate converging shock waves. The study showed that the limitation of cumulation is associated with the transition from the Mach interaction of converging shock wave segments to a regular one due to the progressive increase in the ratio of the azimuthal velocity at the shock wave front to the radial velocity with a decrease in its radius. It was found that this ratio is represented as a product of a limited oscillating function of the radius and a power function of the radius with an exponent depending on the initial packing density in the hard sphere model. It is shown that increasing the packing density parameter in the hard sphere model leads to a significant increase in the pressures achieved in a shock wave with broken symmetry. For the first time in the calculation, it is shown that at the scale of cumulation termination, the flow is accompanied by the formation of high-energy vortices, which involve the substance that has undergone the greatest shock-wave compression. Influencing heat and mass transfer in the region of greatest compression, this circumstance is important for current practical applications of converging shock waves for the purpose of initiating reactions (detonation, phase transitions, controlled thermonuclear fusion).

The purpose of this paper is to generalize the macroscopic hydrodynamic vehicular traffic models by using the algorithm for constructing the adequate state equation — dependence the pressure from traffic density by taking into account the real experimental data (possibly using the parametric solutions for model equations). It is proved that this kind of state equation which closed model equations system and obtained from the experimentally observed form of the fundamental diagram — dependence the traffic intensity from its density, completely determines the all properties of the used phenomenological model.

The article contains results of modeling a meteor entering dense atmosphere layers using Galerkin’s method and smoother particle hydrodynamics. Numerical simulations were run using experimental data gathered for the Chelyabinsk meteor while varying the meteor material characteristics and its orientation when entering the atmosphere.

The possibility to study temperature fluctuations using URANS approach is studied. The results of numerical simulation of mixing processes for triple-jet sodium at different temperatures are presented. The processes were simulated using FlowVision software system and LMS model for turbulent heat transfer. The analysis and experiment data are compared. Validated was the possibility to determine the energy-carrying frequencies of temperature fluctuations using URANS approach and LMS model when mixing triple-jet sodium at different temperatures.

The article focuses on a nonlinear mathematical model that describes the interaction of the different age groups of the employed population. The interactions are treated by analogy with population relationship (competition, discrimination, assistance, oppression, etc). Under interaction of peoples we mean the generalized social and economic mechanisms that cause related changes in the number of employees of different age groups. Three age groups of the employed population are considered. It is young specialists (15–29 years), workers with experience (30–49 years), the employees of pre-retirement and retirement age (50 and older). The estimation of model’s parameters for the southern regions of the Far Eastern Federal District (FEFD) is executed by statistical data. Analysis of model scenarios allows us to conclude the observed number fluctuations of the different ages employees on the background of a stable total employed population may be a consequence of complex interactions between these groups of peoples. Computational experiments with the obtained values of the parameters allowed us to calculate the rate of decline and the aging of the working population and to determine the nature of the interaction between the age groups of employees that are not directly as reflected in the statistics. It was found that in FEFD the employed of 50 years and older are discriminated against by the young workers under 29, employed up to 29 and 30–49 years are in a partnership. It is shown in most developed regions (Primorsky and Khabarovsk Krai) there is “uniform” competition among different age groups of the employed population. For Primorsky Krai we were able to identify the mixing effect dynamics. It is a typical situation for systems in a state of structural adjustment. This effect is reflected in the fact the long cycles of employed population form with a significant decrease in migration inflows of employees 30–49 years. Besides, the change of migration is accompanied by a change of interaction type — from employment discrimination by the oldest of middle generation to discrimination by the middle of older generation. In less developed regions (Amur, Magadan and Jewish Autonomous Regions) there are lower values of migration balance of almost all age groups and discrimination by young workers up 29 years of other age groups and employment discrimination 30–49 years of the older generation.

Optimization of hull lines for the minimum resistance to movement is a problem of current interest in ship hydrodynamics. In practice, lines design is still to some extent an art. The usual approaches to decrease the ship resistance are based on the model experiment and/or CFD simulation, following the trial and error method. The paper presents a new method of in-detail hull form design based on the wave-based optimization approach. The method provides systematic variation of the hull geometrical form, which corresponds to alteration of longitudinal distribution of the hull volume, while its vertical volume distribution is fixed or highly controlled. It’s well known from the theoretical studies that the vertical distribution can't be optimized by condition of minimum wave resistance, thus it can be neglected for the optimization procedures. The method efficiency was investigated by application to the foreship of KCS, the well-known test object from the workshop Gothenburg-2000. The variations of the longitudinal distribution of the volume were set on the sectional area curve as finite volume increments and then transferred to the lines plan with the help of special frame transformation methods. The CFD towing simulations were carried out for the initial hull form and the six modified variants. According to the simulation results, examined modifications caused the resistance increments in the range 1.3–6.5 %. Optimization process was underpinned with the respective data analysis based on the new hypothesis, according to which, the resistance increments caused by separate longitudinal segments of hull form meet the principle of superposition. The achieved results, which are presented as the optimum distribution of volume present in the optimized designed hull form, which shows the interesting characteristics that its resistance has decrease by 8.9 % in respect to initial KCS hull form. Visualization of the wave patterns showed an attenuation of the transversal wave components, and the intensification of the diverging wave components.

In the paper the statistical relationships between the size and production characteristics of phytoplankton and zooplankton of the Vistula and Curonian lagoons, the Baltic Sea, were investigated. Research phytoplankton and zooplankton within the Russian part of the area of the Vistula and the Curonian lagoon was carried out on the monthly basis (from April to November) within the framework of long-term monitoring program on evaluating of ecological status of the lagoons. The size structure of plankton is the basis for understanding of the development of production processes, mechanisms of formation of the plankton species diversity and functioning of the lagoon ecosystems. As results of the work it was found that the maximum rate of photosynthesis and the integral value of the primary production with a change in cell volume of phytoplankton are changed according to a power law. The result shows that the smaller the size of algal cells in phytoplankton communities the more actively occur metabolism and the more effective they assimilate the solar energy. It is shown that the formation of plankton species diversity in ecosystems of lagoons is closely linked with the size structure of plankton communities and with features of development of the production processes. It is proposed the structure of a spatially homogenous mathematical model of the plankton food chain for the lagoon ecosystems taking into account the size spectrum and the characteristics of phytoplankton and zooplankton. The model parameters are the sizedependent indicators allometrically linked with average volumes of cells and organisms in different ranges of their sizes. In the model the algorithm for changes over time the coefficients of food preferences in the diet of zooplankton was proposed. Developed the size-dependent mathematical model of aquatic ecosystems allows to consider the impact of turbulent exchange on the size structure and temporal dynamics of the plankton food chain of the Vistula and Curonian lagoons. The model can be used to study the different regimes of dynamic behavior of plankton systems depending on the changes in the values of its parameters and external influences, as well as to quantify the redistribution of matter flows in ecosystems of the lagoons.