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Since 1950s the field of city transport modelling has progressed rapidly. The first equilibrium distribution models of traffic flow appeared. The most popular model (which is still being widely used) was the Beckmann model, based on the two Wardrop principles. The core of the model could be briefly described as the search for the Nash equilibrium in a population demand game, in which losses of agents (drivers) are calculated based on the chosen path and demands of this path with correspondences being fixed. The demands (costs) of a path are calculated as the sum of the demands of different path segments (graph edges), that are included in the path. The costs of an edge (edge travel time) are determined by the amount of traffic on this edge (more traffic means larger travel time). The flow on a graph edge is determined by the sum of flows over all paths passing through the given edge. Thus, the cost of traveling along a path is determined not only by the choice of the path, but also by the paths other drivers have chosen. Thus, it is a standard game theory task. The way cost functions are constructed allows us to narrow the search for equilibrium to solving an optimization problem (game is potential in this case). If the cost functions are monotone and non-decreasing, the optimization problem is convex. Actually, different assumptions about the cost functions form different models. The most popular model is based on the BPR cost function. Such functions are massively used in calculations of real cities. However, in the beginning of the XXI century, Yu. E. Nesterov and A. de Palma showed that Beckmann-type models have serious weak points. Those could be fixed using the stable dynamics model, as it was called by the authors. The search for equilibrium here could be also reduced to an optimization problem, moreover, the problem of linear programming. In 2013, A.V.Gasnikov discovered that the stable dynamics model can be obtained by a passage to the limit in the Beckmann model. However, it was made only for several practically important, but still special cases. Generally, the question if this passage to the limit is possible remains open. In this paper, we provide the justification of the possibility of the above-mentioned passage to the limit in the general case, when the cost function for traveling along the edge as a function of the flow along the edge degenerates into a function equal to fixed costs until the capacity is reached and it is equal to plus infinity when the capacity is exceeded.

The article deals with the nonlinear boundary-value problem of hydrogen permeability corresponding to the following experiment. A membrane made of the target structural material heated to a sufficiently high temperature serves as the partition in the vacuum chamber. Degassing is performed in advance. A constant pressure of gaseous (molecular) hydrogen is built up at the inlet side. The penetrating flux is determined by mass-spectrometry in the vacuum maintained at the outlet side.

A linear model of dependence on concentration is adopted for the coefficient of dissolved atomic hydrogen diffusion in the bulk. The temperature dependence conforms to the Arrhenius law. The surface processes of dissolution and sorptiondesorption are taken into account in the form of nonlinear dynamic boundary conditions (differential equations for the dynamics of surface concentrations of atomic hydrogen). The characteristic mathematical feature of the boundary-value problem is that concentration time derivatives are included both in the diffusion equation and in the boundary conditions with quadratic nonlinearity. In terms of the general theory of functional differential equations, this leads to the so-called neutral type equations and requires a more complex mathematical apparatus. An iterative computational algorithm of second-(higher- )order accuracy is suggested for solving the corresponding nonlinear boundary-value problem based on explicit-implicit difference schemes. To avoid solving the nonlinear system of equations at every time step, we apply the explicit component of difference scheme to slower sub-processes.

The results of numerical modeling are presented to confirm the fitness of the model to experimental data. The degrees of impact of variations in hydrogen permeability parameters (“derivatives”) on the penetrating flux and the concentration distribution of H atoms through the sample thickness are determined. This knowledge is important, in particular, when designing protective structures against hydrogen embrittlement or membrane technologies for producing high-purity hydrogen. The computational algorithm enables using the model in the analysis of extreme regimes for structural materials (pressure drops, high temperatures, unsteady heating), identifying the limiting factors under specific operating conditions, and saving on costly experiments (especially in deuterium-tritium investigations).

The work presents an experimental study of the tree structure that occurs during a medical examination. At each meeting with a medical specialist, the patient receives a certain number of areas for consulting other specialists or for tests. A tree of directions arises, each branch of which the patient should pass. Depending on the branching of the tree, it can be as final — and in this case the examination can be completed — and endless when the patient’s goal cannot be achieved. In the work both experimentally and theoretically studied the critical properties of the transition of the system from the forest of the final trees to the forest endless, depending on the probabilistic characteristics of the tree.

For the description, a model is proposed in which a discrete function of the probability of the number of branches on the node repeats the dynamics of a continuous gaussian distribution. The characteristics of the distribution of the Gauss (mathematical expectation of $x_0$, the average quadratic deviation of $\sigma$) are model parameters. In the selected setting, the task refers to the problems of branching random processes (BRP) in the heterogeneous model of Galton – Watson.

Experimental study is carried out by numerical modeling on the final grilles. A phase diagram was built, the boundaries of areas of various phases are determined. A comparison was made with the phase diagram obtained from theoretical criteria for macrosystems, and an adequate correspondence was established. It is shown that on the final grilles the transition is blurry.

The description of the blurry phase transition was carried out using two approaches. In the first, standard approach, the transition is described using the so-called inclusion function, which makes the meaning of the share of one of the phases in the general set. It was established that such an approach in this system is ineffective, since the found position of the conditional boundary of the blurred transition is determined only by the size of the chosen experimental lattice and does not bear objective meaning.

The second, original approach is proposed, based on the introduction of an parameter of order equal to the reverse average tree height, and the analysis of its behavior. It was established that the dynamics of such an order parameter in the $\sigma = \text{const}$ section with very small differences has the type of distribution of Fermi – Dirac ($\sigma$ performs the same function as the temperature for the distribution of Fermi – Dirac, $x_0$ — energy function). An empirical expression has been selected for the order parameter, an analogue of the chemical potential is introduced and calculated, which makes sense of the characteristic scale of the order parameter — that is, the values of $x_0$, in which the order can be considered a disorder. This criterion is the basis for determining the boundary of the conditional transition in this approach. It was established that this boundary corresponds to the average height of a tree equal to two generations. Based on the found properties, recommendations for medical institutions are proposed to control the provision of limb of the path of patients.

The model discussed and its description using conditionally-infinite trees have applications to many hierarchical systems. These systems include: internet routing networks, bureaucratic networks, trade and logistics networks, citation networks, game strategies, population dynamics problems, and others.

The paper develops a new mathematical method of the joint signal and noise calculation at the Rice statistical distribution based on combing the maximum likelihood method and the method of moments. The calculation of the sough-for values of signal and noise is implemented by processing the sampled measurements of the analyzed Rician signal’s amplitude. The explicit equations’ system has been obtained for required signal and noise parameters and the results of its numerical solution are provided confirming the efficiency of the proposed technique. It has been shown that solving the two-parameter task by means of the proposed technique does not lead to the increase of the volume of demanded calculative resources if compared with solving the task in one-parameter approximation. An analytical solution of the task has been obtained for the particular case of small value of the signal-to-noise ratio. The paper presents the investigation of the dependence of the sought for parameters estimation accuracy and dispersion on the quantity of measurements in experimental sample. According to the results of numerical experiments, the dispersion values of the estimated sought-for signal and noise parameters calculated by means of the proposed technique change in inverse proportion to the quantity of measurements in a sample. There has been implemented a comparison of the accuracy of the soughtfor Rician parameters’ estimation by means of the proposed technique and by earlier developed version of the method of moments. The problem having been considered in the paper is meaningful for the purposes of Rician data processing, in particular, at the systems of magnetic-resonance visualization, in devices of ultrasonic visualization, at optical signals’ analysis in range-measuring systems, at radar signals’ analysis, as well as at solving many other scientific and applied tasks that are adequately described by the Rice statistical model.

In the conditions of the development of modern economy, human capital is one of the main factors of economic growth. The formation of human capital begins with the birth of a person and continues throughout life, so the value of human capital is inseparable from its carriers, which in turn makes it difficult to account for this factor. This has led to the fact that currently there are no generally accepted methods of calculating the value of human capital. There are only a few approaches to the measurement of human capital: the cost approach (by income or investment) and the index approach, of which the most well-known approach developed under the auspices of the UN.

This paper presents the assigned task in conjunction with the task of demographic dynamics solved in the time-age plane, which allows to more fully take into account the temporary changes in the demographic structure on the dynamics of human capital.

The task of demographic dynamics is posed within the framework of the Mac-Kendrick – von Foerster model on the basis of the equation of age structure dynamics. The form of distribution functions for births, deaths and migration of the population is determined on the basis of the available statistical information. The numerical solution of the problem is given. The analysis and forecast of demographic indicators are presented. The economic and mathematical model of human capital dynamics is formulated on the basis of the demographic dynamics problem. The problem of modeling the human capital dynamics considers three components of capital: educational, health and cultural (spiritual). Description of the evolution of human capital components uses an equation of the transfer equation type. Investments in human capital components are determined on the basis of budget expenditures and private expenditures, taking into account the characteristic time life cycle of demographic elements. A one-dimensional kinetic equation is used to predict the dynamics of the total human capital. The method of calculating the dynamics of this factor is given as a time function. The calculated data on the human capital dynamics are presented for the Russian Federation. As studies have shown, the value of human capital increased rapidly until 2008, in the future there was a period of stabilization, but after 2014 there is a negative dynamics of this value.

Although the era of exponential performance growth in computer chips has ended, processor core numbers have reached 16 or more even in general-purpose desktop CPUs. As DRAM throughput is unable to keep pace with this computing power growth, CPU designers need to find ways of lowering memory traffic per instruction. The straightforward way to do this is to reduce the miss rate of the last-level cache. Assuming “non-inclusive cache, inclusive directory” (NCID) scheme already implemented, three ways of reducing the cache miss rate further were studied.

The first is to achieve more uniform usage of cache banks and sets by employing hash-based interleaving and indexing. In the experiments in SPEC CPU2017 refrate tests, even the simplest XOR-based hash functions demonstrated a performance increase of 3.2%, 9.1%, and 8.2% for CPU configurations with 16, 32, and 64 cores and last-level cache banks, comparable to the results of more complex matrix-, division- and CRC-based functions.

The second optimisation is aimed at reducing replication at different cache levels by means of automatically switching to the exclusive scheme when it appears optimal. A known scheme of this type, FLEXclusion, was modified for use in NCID caches and showed an average performance gain of 3.8%, 5.4 %, and 7.9% for 16-, 32-, and 64-core configurations.

The third optimisation is to increase the effective cache capacity using compression. The compression rate of the inexpensive and fast BDI*-HL (Base-Delta-Immediate Modified, Half-Line) algorithm, designed for NCID, was measured, and the respective increase in cache capacity yielded roughly 1% of the average performance increase.

All three optimisations can be combined and demonstrated a performance gain of 7.7%, 16% and 19% for CPU configurations with 16, 32, and 64 cores and banks, respectively.

We consider a spatiotemporal model of a tritrophic system describing the interaction between prey, predator, and superpredator in an environment with nonuniform resource distribution. The model incorporates superpredator omnivory (Intraguild Predation, IGP), diffusion, and directed migration (taxis), the latter modeled using a logarithmic function of resource availability and prey density. The primary focus is on analyzing the multistability of the system and the role of cosymmetry in the formation of continuous families of steady-state solutions. Using a numerical-analytical approach, we study both spatially homogeneous and inhomogeneous steady-state solutions. It is established that under additional relations between the parameters governing local predator interactions and diffusion coefficients, the system exhibits cosymmetry, leading to the emergence of a family of stable steady-state solutions proportional to the resource function. We demonstrate that the cosymmetry is independent of the resource function in the case of a heterogeneous environment. The stability of stationary distributions is investigated using spectral methods. Violation of the cosymmetry conditions results in the breakdown of the solution family and the emergence of isolated equilibria, as well as prolonged transient dynamics reflecting the system’s “memory” of the vanished states. Depending on initial conditions and parameters, the system exhibits transitions to single-predator regimes (survival of either the predator or superpredator) or predator coexistence. Numerical experiments based on the method of lines, which involves finite difference discretization in space and Runge –Kutta integration in time, confirm the system’s multistability and illustrate the disappearance of solution families when cosymmetry is broken.

A mathematical model describing the dynamics of HIV-1 infection in a single lymph node during the initial period of infection development is presented. Within the framework of the model, the infection of an individual is set by a nonnegative finite function describing the rate of entry of the initial viral particles into the lymph node. The equations of the model are derived with consideration of two factors: 1) the interaction of viral particles with naive CD4+ T lymphocytes in various phases of the cell cycle; 2) contact interaction between multiplying naive CD4+ T lymphocytes and infected CD4+ T lymphocytes producing viral particles. The specific feature of intercellular contact interactions is the formation of complexes consisting of pairs of these cells. The duration of the complexes’ existence is determined by the distribution functions over finite time intervals. The model is presented as a high-dimensional system of nonlinear delay differential equations, including two equations with distributed delay, and is supplemented with non-negative initial data. In the absence of HIV-1 infection, the model is reduced to four delay differential equations describing the number of naive CD4+ T-lymphocytes in different phases of the cell cycle. The global solvability of the model (the existence and uniqueness of the solution on the semi-axis) is determined, and the non-negativity of the solution components is established. To carry out computational experiments with the model, an algorithm for numerically solving the used system of differential equations are developed based on the semi-implicit Euler scheme for the case of uniform distribution of durations of the complexes existence. The results of computational experiments aimed at approximation the numerical solution of the model to describing the kinetics of HIV-1 infection spread in its acute phase, including the eclipse phase, are presented. The variable used as the observable is the variable describing the number of viral particles per milliliter of blood on days 10–12 after the onset of acute infection. The dynamics of the observable variable is numerically studied depending on the variation of the model parameters reflecting the patterns of complex formation and the formation of cells producing viral particles. The possibility of attenuation of HIV-1 infection in the lymph node at certain values of some of the model parameters is shown.

In this paper average times between elementary jumps of stock returns on the Russian market were experimentally studied. Considering the scaling of the probability density function of stock returns on different time intervals it is shown that an elementary jump in the random walks scheme for financial instrument returns is a unit price change (tick) that corresponds to a single deal on the stock market.

This article is dedicated to a comparison analysis of optimization methods, in order to perform an interval estimation of electrical energy technical losses in distribution networks of voltage 6–20 kV. The issue of interval evaluation is represented as a multi-dimensional conditional minimization/maximization problem with implicit target function. A number of numerical optimization methods of first and zero orders is observed, with the aim of determining the most suitable for the problem of interest. The desired algorithm is BOBYQA, in which the target function is replaced with its quadratic approximation in some trusted region.