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The paper considers the problem of parameter identification of discrete-time linear stochastic systems in the state space with additive and multiplicative noise. It is assumed that the state and measurements equations of a discrete-time linear stochastic system depend on an unknown parameter to be identified.

A new approach to the construction of gradient parameter identification methods in the class of discrete-time linear stochastic systems with additive and multiplicative noise is presented, based on the application of modified weighted Gram – Schmidt orthogonalization (MWGS) and the discrete-time information-type filtering algorithms.

The main theoretical results of this research include: 1) a new identification criterion in terms of an extended information filter; 2) a new algorithm for calculating derivatives with respect to an uncertainty parameter in a discrete-time linear stochastic system based on an extended information LD filter using the direct procedure of modified weighted Gram – Schmidt orthogonalization; and 3) a new method for calculating the gradient of identification criteria using a “differentiated” extended information LD filter.

The advantages of this approach are that it uses MWGS orthogonalization which is numerically stable against machine roundoff errors, and it forms the basis of all the developed methods and algorithms. The information LD-filter maintains the symmetry and positive definiteness of the information matrices. The algorithms have an array structure that is convenient for computer implementation.

All the developed algorithms were implemented in MATLAB. A series of numerical experiments were carried out. The results obtained demonstrated the operability of the proposed approach, using the example of solving the problem of parameter identification for a mathematical model of a complex mechanical system.

The results can be used to develop methods for identifying parameters in mathematical models that are represented in state space by discrete-time linear stochastic systems with additive and multiplicative noise.

The paper addresses the state estimation problem for pairwise Markov models with Gaussian noises. The class of pairwise Markov models generalizes the classical hidden Markov models. The key difference lies in the assumption that the Markov property holds not for the hidden process alone, but for the pair consisting of the state and the observation. This allows modeling more complex dependencies and, in particular, eliminates the requirement of Markovianity for the hidden process. For linear Gaussian pairwise models, Kalman filtering methods remain applicable, leading to the concept of the pairwise Kalman filter.

This work proposes a new modification of the pairwise Kalman filter based on the application of modified weighted Gram – Schmidt orthogonalization and the LD decomposition of covariance matrices. The main results are as follows: a novel LD modification of the pairwise Kalman filter (Theorem 1); a new LD-PKF algorithm for state estimation of pairwise Markov models, based on a direct procedure of modified weighted Gram–Schmidt orthogonalization and LD decomposition of covariance matrices (algorithm 2); results of comparative analysis on the numerical properties of pairwise discrete filtering algorithms.

The obtained theoretical results complement the theory of pairwise filtering in the class of linear discrete pairwise Markov models with Gaussian noises.

The developed algorithm is implemented in MATLAB. A series of numerical experiments are conducted, and the results demonstrate its effectiveness and numerical advantages over other existing modifications of the pairwise Kalman filter.

The presented results can be further used to develop new methods for parameter identification of pairwise Markov models.

In the paper we consider the inverse problem of evaluating kinetic parameters of the model of dehydriding of metal powder using experimental data. The «blind search» in the space of parameters revealed multiple physically reasonable solutions. The solutions were obtained using high–performance computational modeling based on BOINC–grid.

Correct modeling of complex dynamics of urban transportation flows requires the collection of large volumes of empirical data to specify types of the modes and their identification. At the same time, setting a large number of observation posts is expensive and technically not always feasible. All this results in insufficient factographic support for the traffic control systems as well as for urban planners with the obvious consequences for the quality of their decisions. As one of the means to provide large-scale data collection at least for the qualitative situation analysis, the wide-area video cameras are used in different situation centers. There they are analyzed by human operators who are responsible for observation and control. Some video cameras provided their videos for common access, which makes them a valuable resource for transportation studies. However, there are significant problems with getting qualitative data from such cameras, which relate to the theory and practice of image processing. This study is devoted to the practical application of certain mainstream neuro-networking technologies for the estimation of essential characteristics of actual transportation flows. The problems arising in processing these data are analyzed, and their solutions are suggested. The convolution neural networks are used for tracking, and the methods for obtaining basic parameters of transportation flows from these observations are studied. The simplified neural networks are used for the preparation of training sets for the deep learning neural network YOLOv4 which is later used for the estimation of speed and density of automobile flows.

An important role in the construction of mathematical models of dynamic systems is played by inverse problems, which in particular include the problem of parametric identification. Unlike classical models that operate with point values, interval models give upper and lower boundaries on the quantities under study. The paper considers an interpolation approach to solving interval problems of parametric identification of dynamic systems for the case when experimental data are represented by external interval estimates. The purpose of the proposed approach is to find such an interval estimate of the model parameters, in which the external interval estimate of the solution of the direct modeling problem would contain experimental data or minimize the deviation from them. The approach is based on the adaptive interpolation algorithm for modeling dynamic systems with interval uncertainties, which makes it possible to explicitly obtain the dependence of phase variables on system parameters. The task of minimizing the distance between the experimental data and the model solution in the space of interval boundaries of the model parameters is formulated. An expression for the gradient of the objectivet function is obtained. On a representative set of tasks, the effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated.

This paper presents a non-iterative method for solving an inverse problem for a parabolictype equation with an unknown time-dependent coefficient at the first spatial derivative. The overdetermination condition is specified as a definite integral of the unknown function with a weighting factor over the spatial domain or its subdomain. The study is motivated by the need to identify dynamic parameters in applied problems, particularly in modeling transport processes in biological fluids, where the flow velocity may vary over time. In contrast to conventional iterative methods that require substantial computational effort and careful selection of regularization parameters, an original approach based on solution decomposition is proposed. At each time layer, the solution is represented as a linear combination of solutions to two auxiliary systems with the same matrix and different right-hand sides, followed by the determination of the unknown coefficient from a discrete analogue of the overdetermination condition. This approach eliminates the need for an iterative procedure. In the presence of inexact overdetermination data, the highest reconstruction accuracy is achieved using a quasi-solution. Numerical experiments on test problems demonstrate high accuracy in reconstructing the unknown functions under small perturbations of the overdetermination condition. The results indicate strong potential for applications in medical diagnostics and other fields requiring rapid processing of experimental data.

In this paper, we investigate different alternative ideas for the design of digital predistortion models for radiofrequency power amplifiers. When compared to the greedy search algorithm, these algorithms allow a faster identification of the model parameters combination while still performing reasonably well. For the subsequent implementation, different metrics of model costs and score results in the process of optimization enable us to achieve sparse selections of the model, which balance the model accuracy and model resources (according to the complexity of implementation). The results achieved in the process of simulations show that combinations obtained with explored algorithms show the best performance after a lower number of simulations.

A model of combustion of premixed mixture of gases with one global chemical reaction is considered, the model includes equations of the second order for temperature of mixture and concentrations of fuel and oxidizer, and the right-hand sides of these equations contain the reaction rate function. This function depends on five unknown parameters of the global reaction and serves as approximation to multistep reaction mechanism. The model is reduced, after replacement of variables, to one equation of the second order for temperature of mixture that transforms to a first-order equation for temperature derivative depending on temperature that contains a parameter of flame propagation velocity. Thus, for computing the parameter of burning velocity, one has to solve Dirichlet problem for first-order equation, and after that a model dependence of burning velocity on mixture equivalence ratio at specified reaction rate parameters will be obtained. Given the experimental data of dependence of burning velocity on mixture equivalence ratio, the problem of optimal selection of reaction rate parameters is stated, based on minimization of the mean square deviation of model values of burning velocity on experimental ones. The aim of our study is analysis of uniqueness of this problem solution. To this end, we apply computational experiment during which the problem of global search of optima is solved using multistart of gradient descent. The computational experiment clarifies that the inverse problem in this statement is underdetermined, and every time, when running gradient descent from a selected starting point, it converges to a new limit point. The structure of the set of limit points in the five-dimensional space is analyzed, and it is shown that this set can be described with three linear equations. Therefore, it might be incorrect to tabulate all five parameters of reaction rate based on just one match criterion between model and experimental data of flame propagation velocity. The conclusion of our study is that in order to tabulate reaction rate parameters correctly, it is necessary to specify the values of two of them, based on additional optimality criteria.

The work is devoted to the problem of creating a model with stationary parameters using historical data under conditions of unknown disturbances. The case is considered when a representative sample of object states can be formed using historical data accumulated only over a significant period of time. It is assumed that unknown disturbances can act in a wide frequency range and may have low-frequency and trend components. In such a situation, including data from different time periods in the sample can lead to inconsistencies and greatly reduce the accuracy of the model. The paper provides an overview of approaches and methods for data harmonization. In this case, the main attention is paid to data sampling. An assessment is made of the applicability of various data sampling options as a tool for reducing the level of uncertainty. We propose a method for identifying a self-leveling object model using data accumulated over a significant period of time under conditions of unknown disturbances with a wide frequency range. The method is focused on creating a model with stationary parameters that does not require periodic reconfiguration to new conditions. The method is based on the combined use of sampling and presentation of data from individual periods of time in the form of increments relative to the initial point in time for the period. This makes it possible to reduce the number of parameters that characterize unknown disturbances with a minimum of assumptions that limit the application of the method. As a result, the dimensionality of the search problem is reduced and the computational costs associated with setting up the model are minimized. It is possible to configure both linear and, in some cases, nonlinear models. The method was used to develop a model of closed cooling of steel on a unit for continuous hot-dip galvanizing of steel strip. The model can be used for predictive control of thermal processes and for selecting strip speed. It is shown that the method makes it possible to develop a model of thermal processes from a closed cooling section under conditions of unknown disturbances, including low-frequency components.